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公布答案:值一万美金的小智力题 结果也许让你吃惊!

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楼主
发表于 2005-12-21 08:21:07 | 显示全部楼层

回复:The answer to question 1 is wrong


Yes, the answer to question one is definitely wrong. The author was arguing that the chances (or probability) of it being a girl is 2/3. However, that statement is wrong. It was based on the assumption that:
 
BG 1/3
GB 1/3
BB 1/3
 
However, if we are to work it out that way, it should be:
 
B1 G1 1/4
G1 B1 1/4www.ddhw.com
B1 B2 1/4
B2 B1 1/4
 
As stated by a previous poster, the BB combination should be counted twice. As such, it will end up that there is a 50/50 chance of it being a Girl or Boy.
 
So teh conclusion is: The guy should have his pay deducted by 10000USD per month!!!!
www.ddhw.com

 
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沙发
发表于 2005-12-22 12:24:44 | 显示全部楼层

回复:概率都是50%?请给出你的解释


The 4 combinations should be:www.ddhw.com
 
Boy1 Girl1 (25%)
Girl1 Boy1 (25%)
Boy1 Boy2 (25%)
Boy2 Boy1 (25%)www.ddhw.com
 
So it should be still 50% chance either way.www.ddhw.com
 
Reduce your friend's wage by 10000USD!!!!
www.ddhw.com

 
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