9. Let's call the expectd number of draws E(1,1,1,1). After one draw the color pattern is (2,1,1), so we have the equation E(1,1,1,1) = 1 + E(2,1,1) COntinue from here we have more equations E(2,1,1) = 1 + 1/2 * E(2,1,1) + 1/3 * E(3,1) + 1/6 * E(2,2) E(2,2) = 1 + 1/3 * E(2,2) + 2/3 * E(3,1) E(3,1) = 1 + 1/2 * E(3,1) + 1/4 * E(2,2) Solve the equations we have E(2,1,1) = 8. SO E(1,1,1,1) = 9. |
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